Reflections on the future of our Planet’s climate.

Uberto Crescenti: Dipartimento di Ingegneria e Geologia Università G. d’Annunzio Chieti-Pescara (Italia) e-mail : crescent@unich.it

Translation and comments by Franco Maranzana, Consulting Geologist
e-mail francomaranzana@gmail.com

Abstract. The article deals with the prediction of the future climate  of our Planet. At present we have some  reliable data  on the past through the historical studies of the climate. They cannot be projected towards the future.  Hence, the catastrophic predictions of the IPCC and of those adhering to this organization, These predictions cannot be seriously taken into consideration but they influence the world economy because of the application of the Kyoto Protocol which, only in 2013, has mobilized some 160 billion dollars on the so called carbon tax.

In the occasion of the  Lectio Magistralis  at the Royal Society of Arts of  Edinburgh, on  31 October 2011, Matt Ridley stated :” Never  count  on the consensus  of  experts about  the future. The experts deserve to be listened to themes related to the past.  Futurology is  pseudoscience”. Such a statement very seldom can so well be applied to  the field of climate predictions.

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Professor Bob Carter 1942-2016

bob-carter

It is with great sadness that we have to announce the passing of Professor Bob Carter following a sudden heart attack at his home in Townsville Australia.

”One thing is for sure, Bob made the most of every minute he had and was a fighter to the very end”, said Bob’s wife Anne.

We surely understand this in view all the excellent things Bob has said and written through the years – and his great friendship.

The loss of Bob, is a very great loss for Science. Things will not be as they were before.

For his friends all over the world it is a tragedy.

But we have his excellent contributions to science to use as a well of knowledge and understanding – and our memories of a Great Friend.

The Independent Committee on Geoethics is in mourning.

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Some tributes:

http://www.steynonline.com/7430/a-principled-man-in-a-corrupted-field

http://joannenova.com.au/2016/01/bob-carter-a-great-man-gone-far-too-soon

http://blog.heartland.org/2016/01/dr-robert-m-carter-r-i-p/

Challenging the AGW hypothesis

by Giovanni P. Gregori
Istituto di Acustica e Sensoristica (IDASC) – Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR) giovanni.gregori@idasc.cnr.it

The global climate change (or global warming, GW) is in progress, closely analogously to several other – eventually also much more violent – documented occurrences reported during the long history of the Earth. At present, the demographic expansion – altogether with the ever increasing energy demand – make humankind to be an unprecedented driving factor in the “climate” system. The consequent pollution has certainly to be suitably taken into account as an important aspect in climatology. However, contrary to a well known and often strongly claimed warning, no objective evidence seems to support the hypothesis of any leading role of CO2. Other drivers, which are essentially independent of the humans, certainly play a paramount and most relevant role. The very recent maps of the CO2 planetary distribution provided by the NASA satellite OCO2 give an unexpected clear support for the inferences of a major contribution from sub-surface degassing as further discussed in a recent paper by Gregori (New Concept in Global Tectonics, vol. 3, no. 4, 2015).

Windows on the World features geoethic.com and pcc15.org

A new video by ‘Windows on the World‘ featuring Organisers, speakers and attendees at the Paris Climate Challenge 2015 event.

The Independent Committee on Geoethics thanks Mark for his involvement and technical support.

Two Climate Conferences in Paris

patrick_moore_sensible_environmentalistBy Patrick Moore

Paris – There are two climate conferences going on in Paris this month. One, the 21st Conference of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (COP21) attended by about 40,000 people, and the other, The Paris Climate Challenge 2015, attended by about 40 people.

The big conference is conveniently situated next to Europe’s largest private jetport, all the better to bring in the thousands of dignitaries from around the world. How else could they attend without flying in fossil-fuel-powered aircraft? There is no discussion of science at this conference as the science is considered to be settled. Catastrophic human-caused global warming and climate change will be upon us unless we can keep temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius. The only way to do that is a drastic reduction in fossil fuel consumption with a goal of terminating it altogether as soon as possible. This would eliminate 85 percent of civilization’s energy supply in a world where more that a billion people still have no electricity.

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Increasing vulgarity in science publication

As the Paris climate talks are drawing close, we will see a rapidly increasing number of sensational news stories based on shoddily researched papers and reports on many climate change issues.

Two such sensational news have come to our attention; one claims that the Monsoon is the “top threat to India’s economy” and future development (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-01/climate-change-is-top-threat-to-india-s-economy-modi-aide-says), the other claims that “Climate change threatens 55 million in India’s coastal areas.” (http://m.ndtv.com/india-news/climate-change-threatens-55-million-in-indias-coastal-areas-report-1241649).

As both issues are central to our scientific research, we were deeply shocked to read those stories, which represent typical horror scenarios spread by lobbyists for the purpose of scaring people, and with a total disrespect for scientific observational facts. This makes those two papers not only a disgrace to science but also to geoethical principles.

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To all editors acting as gatekeepers

By Pamela Matlack-Klein

Over the past several years I have noticed a distressing tendency of highly respected scientific journals to avoid publishing papers that disagree with the IPCC’s concept of Anthropogenic Global Warming/Climate Change. As this notion has been arrived at with very little actual field work, rather relying heavily on computer modeling, I find it difficult to accept as “fact,” most especially in light of the findings of scientists working in the field, observing and collecting real data.To date, the majority of predictions of these models have failed to come to pass.

The Maldives stubbornly refuse to sink under the waves, (N.A. Morner), the ice pack and glaciers in the Arctic and Antarctica are not shrinking, (Nicola Scafetta and Adriano Mazzarella: “The Arctic and Antarctic Sea-Ice Area Index Records versus Measured and Modeled Temperature Data”. Advances in Meteorology, Volume 2015) and, quite contrary to public opinion (hardly acceptable scientific method), the temperature of the Earth has not risen in any statistically significant way in over a decade.


ngeo2098f1Even this Ben Santer study shows no significant warming trend for the two decades since 1995, as shown by this graph. (more…)